我有生之年能看到衡水模式在中国消失吗？

有人预言美国的强迫性的学校系统很快就会崩溃，我希望中国能走在前头：

Gray: Coercive school system will collapse soon

格雷：强迫性的学校系统很快就会崩溃

Dr Peter Gray believes that the coercive education system in the US will collapse within a decade (prophesied in 2016):

彼得-格雷博士认为，美国的强制教育系统将在十年内崩溃（2016年预言）：

Here are four reasons why Self-Directed Education will replace forced schooling:

以下是自学教育将取代强迫学校教育的四个原因：

• coercive schools have become increasingly and evermore obviously harmful to kids
• 强制学校^[1]对孩子们的危害越来越明显
• evidence has mounted that children and adolescents can educate themselves remarkably well without coercive schooling
• 有证据表明，儿童和青少年在没有强制教育^[1]的情况下，可以很好地进行自我教育
• Self-Directed Education is easier to pursue now than it was in the past
• 自我导向教育^[2]现在比过去更容易开展了
• changes in the economy favor the skills developed by Self-Directed Education
• 经济的变化有利于自我导向教育所培养的技能。

I would add that kids who enter school today may need to compete for jobs with artificial intelligence. By the time they leave college, assuming the concept of college survives, they will need to face machines that will have already passed the Turing Test (acc. to Ray Kurzweil's prophesy). In the meantime, we force kids to work calligraphy by hand, even if they would rather interact with a touchpad.

我想补充的是，今天进入学校的孩子们可能需要与人工智能竞争工作。当他们离开大学的时候，假设大学的概念还存在，他们将需要面对已经通过图灵测试的机器（acc. Ray Kurzweil的预言）。同时，我们强迫孩子们用手来练习书法，即使他们更愿意与触摸板互动。

The understanding of the power of free learning will build up exponentially. Good memes keep spreading at an ever accelerating rate. Shortly after Gray's prophesy comes true in the US, other nations will follow suit.

对自由学习^[3]力量的理解会成倍地积累。好的模因一直在以不断加快的速度传播。在格雷的预言在美国实现后不久，其他国家也会效仿。

See also: Papert's prediction on the collapse of schooling

另请参考：帕珀特对学校教育崩溃的预言

Quoted excerpts come from the following reference:
Title: Why Our Coercive System of Schooling Should Topple
Author: Dr Peter Gray
Date: 2016
Backlink: Education Reform^[4]
Link: https://www.psychologytoday.com/intl/blog/freedom-learn/201612/why-our-coercive-system-schooling-should-topple

更多相关翻译，请见：

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